Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.3%
Chateauroux
15.6%
Draw
74.1%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Chateauroux
vs
2.30
Lorient
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.2%
0-1
12.1%
0-3
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
7.4%
1-3
7.1%
0-4
5.8%
0-0
4.4%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
2-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).