Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.0%
Hartlepool
25.7%
Draw
48.3%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Hartlepool
vs
1.71
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).