Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
Villarreal
16.7%
Draw
12.6%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Villarreal
vs
1.01
Elche
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.9%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
4-0
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).