Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.1%
Real Madrid
21.9%
Draw
10.0%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Real Madrid
vs
0.52
Getafe
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
2-0
15.8%
0-0
10.1%
3-0
9.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).