Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Sampdoria
30.5%
Draw
23.3%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Sampdoria
vs
0.88
Avellino
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).