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16 Feb 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.1%
Panetolikos
31.4%
Draw
23.5%
Athens Kallithea

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Panetolikos

vs
0.84

Athens Kallithea

Markets

BTTS42.1%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
1-1
14.1%
0-0
13.3%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).