Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Stoke
32.1%
Draw
35.6%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Stoke
vs
1.09
Millwall
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).