Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Hertha
28.7%
Draw
37.6%
Elversberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Hertha
vs
1.35
Elversberg
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).