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DHT: 21CSV

25 Nov 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.2%
Oxford City
30.9%
Draw
38.9%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Oxford City

vs
1.20

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).