Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Mainz
27.8%
Draw
45.2%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Mainz
vs
1.47
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).