Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
35.1%
Draw
28.2%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
0.81
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS35.1%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.1%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.8%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).