Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Cadiz
28.6%
Draw
20.4%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Cadiz
vs
0.71
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).