Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Jersey Bulls
17.0%
Draw
68.3%
Worthing
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Jersey Bulls
vs
2.44
Worthing
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
0-3
7.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).