Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Spal
27.8%
Draw
41.3%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Spal
vs
1.48
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).