Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Sheffield Wednesday
26.4%
Draw
58.0%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.61
Swansea
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).