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06 Jan 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.6%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
34.0%
Draw
36.4%
Nottingham Forest

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Wolverhampton Wanderers

vs
1.09

Nottingham Forest

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.3%
0-0
14.7%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).