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HHT: 11CSV

24 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.3%
Bromley
20.5%
Draw
12.2%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Bromley

vs
0.82

Dorking

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.9%
1-0
10.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.9%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).