Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Le Mans
27.2%
Draw
31.7%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Le Mans
vs
0.98
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
0-1
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).