Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.0%
Monza
17.0%
Draw
75.1%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Monza
vs
2.15
Milan
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.8%
0-1
14.9%
0-3
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
1-1
7.7%
0-0
6.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
0-5
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).