Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Partick
28.6%
Draw
28.0%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Partick
vs
1.23
Ayr
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).