Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
St Pauli
24.6%
Draw
37.0%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
St Pauli
vs
1.68
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS67.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
7.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
0-1
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).