Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.6%
Leicester
26.0%
Draw
60.4%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Leicester
vs
1.74
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).