Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Ath Bilbao
28.6%
Draw
30.7%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.06
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).