Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Fleetwood Town
27.8%
Draw
30.7%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Fleetwood Town
vs
0.99
Oldham
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).