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14 Dec 2025 · 19:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.1%
Legia Warszawa
29.6%
Draw
27.3%
Piast Gliwice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Legia Warszawa

vs
1.03

Piast Gliwice

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).