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DHT: 10CSV

09 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.7%
Montrose
23.7%
Draw
52.6%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Montrose

vs
1.90

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).