Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Morecambe
26.1%
Draw
45.4%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Morecambe
vs
1.65
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS59.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).