Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Gillingham
25.5%
Draw
23.0%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Gillingham
vs
0.87
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).