Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Cesena
29.4%
Draw
32.8%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Cesena
vs
1.21
Perugia
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.3%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).