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16 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.2%
Tottenham
17.5%
Draw
11.4%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

2.69

Tottenham

vs
1.05

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS61.4%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.551.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
1-0
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
4-0
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
0-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).