Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
Granada
22.2%
Draw
60.6%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Granada
vs
1.94
Celta
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.7%
0-1
10.6%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
6.4%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).