Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Santander
21.5%
Draw
20.6%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Santander
vs
1.08
Albacete
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
0-0
4.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).