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20 Mar 2026 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.0%
Amiens
22.6%
Draw
54.5%
Le Mans

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Amiens

vs
1.66

Le Mans

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.9%
1-1
10.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).