Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Santander
18.9%
Draw
16.7%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Santander
vs
1.07
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
1-1
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-0
3.9%
0-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).