Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.0%
Chesterfield
15.1%
Draw
10.9%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
Chesterfield
vs
1.12
Dorking
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.577.1%
Over 3.557.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
6.0%
4-0
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
3-2
4.6%
5-1
3.5%
4-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).