Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
Grimsby
23.1%
Draw
17.9%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Grimsby
vs
0.79
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).