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AHT: 02

19 Oct 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.5%
Rubin Kazan
40.2%
Draw
41.3%
Baltika Kaliningrad

Expected Goals (xG)

0.50

Rubin Kazan

vs
0.88

Baltika Kaliningrad

Markets

BTTS24.3%
Over 0.573.5%
Over 1.541.3%
Over 2.516.1%
Over 3.55.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
26.5%
0-1
20.9%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-0
3.1%
0-3
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-2
1.2%
0-4
0.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).