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19 Jul 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.9%
Nordsjælland
15.0%
Draw
11.1%
Aalborg BK

Expected Goals (xG)

2.97

Nordsjælland

vs
1.14

Aalborg BK

Markets

BTTS65.0%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.558.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
6.0%
4-0
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
5-1
3.6%
4-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).