Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Gillingham
24.0%
Draw
27.6%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Gillingham
vs
1.04
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).