Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Aberdeen
24.4%
Draw
22.9%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Aberdeen
vs
1.11
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).