Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.5%
Spartak Moskva
30.2%
Draw
45.3%
Zenit
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Spartak Moskva
vs
1.39
Zenit
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).