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05 Oct 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Westerlo
27.6%
Draw
26.8%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Westerlo

vs
1.03

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).