Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Cosenza
26.2%
Draw
61.7%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Cosenza
vs
1.62
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-2
14.5%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
7.8%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
0-4
3.2%
2-1
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
2-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).