Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Oxford
27.5%
Draw
53.2%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Oxford
vs
1.56
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).