Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.7%
Valladolid
20.9%
Draw
61.5%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Valladolid
vs
2.09
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
9.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).