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14 Mar 2026 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.8%
Girona
28.3%
Draw
27.8%
Crowborough Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Girona

vs
1.02

Crowborough Athletic

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).