Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Cheltenham
26.2%
Draw
25.1%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Cheltenham
vs
0.91
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).