Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Santa Clara
25.1%
Draw
42.4%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Santa Clara
vs
1.40
Estoril
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).