Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Wigan
22.8%
Draw
36.8%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Wigan
vs
1.42
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).