Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Famalicao
27.5%
Draw
56.5%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Famalicao
vs
1.34
Porto
Markets
BTTS31.1%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.6%
0-0
14.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
2-0
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).